There are several reasons that the precise number is difficult to determine.

Additionally, the IUCN has only assessed the extinction risk of about 5% of the known species.

This inevitably raises the number of animals that may have gone extinct without anyone noticing.

Brown Spider Monkey in a tree

Brown Spider Monkey. (Photo: wollertz/Depositphotos)

The fact that many undiscovered species likely live in tropical, understudied areas makes quantification harder for academics.

The number surprised the study’s lead author.

I thought, jeez, have I made some mistakes in the calculations?

A 3D illustration of a herd of Woolly Mammoths walking across a snowy field during the Ice Age.

Digital rendering of a herd of woolly mammoths. (Photo: auntspray/Depositphotos)

How did the researchers calculate the extinction rate?

However, after looking at other wildlife groups like amphibians and birds, the numbers varied wildly.

Eventually, they noted a sweet spot.

Scimitar-horned oryx, oryx dammah, grazing in a wildlife park. Extinct in the wild until recently, when captive breeding programs started to reintroduced animals to their natural habitat.

Scimitar-horned oryx. (Photo: rixipix/Depositphotos)

They tend to cluster around about 100 [E/MSY], Cowie said.

I think that’s a more reasonable, not overly conservative, but not overly exaggerated value.

We should be supercautious about trying to nail a number down based on the existing literature, Alroy says.

Axolotl in aquarium

Axolotl. (Photo: Argument/Depositphotos)

My feeling is that we don’t have a very good fix on the current extinction rate whatsoever.

How many animal species have humans driven to extinction?

Digital rendering of a herd of woolly mammoths.